WTI crude oil prices are expected to average $58.30 per barrel in 2025, as growing oil output from OPEC+ and the U.S. meets stable global demand, according to Haynes Boone’s Spring 2025 Energy Bank Price Deck Survey released Wednesday.
The forecast is based on input from 28 banks—a record number for the survey, now in its 12th year. It marks a drop from the $61.89 per barrel average expected in the firm’s Fall 2024 report. The decline follows a $10-per-barrel price drop in April, which influenced the updated outlook.
Despite the revision, the banks expect WTI prices to stay relatively stable over the next decade. Projected prices hover between $56.24 and $57.24 per barrel through 2034, according to the survey.
Haynes Boone attributed the lower forecasts to anticipated increases in global production, particularly from OPEC and under the pro-production policies of the Trump administration. At the same time, oil demand forecasts have changed little.
“The drop in April had to be factored in, but banks are not letting short-term volatility drive their long-term thinking,” said Kim Mai, partner in Haynes Boone’s Energy Practice Group. She added that the results reflect confidence in long-term market fundamentals.
Mai also noted that banks usually take a conservative approach in their price estimates, often placing them slightly below current market levels.
On Wednesday, WTI was trading near $63 per barrel—close to the breakeven price for drilling new wells in the U.S. shale sector.ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance recently said U.S. shale production would likely level off if prices stay in the low $60s and could decline if prices fall into the $50s.According to the Dallas Fed’s Q1 Energy Survey, most energy executives said their companies require an average of $65 per barrel to drill profitably.
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